Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 2.760109 2.899647 3.046006 3.211591 3.394507 3.591300 3.820268
2025-04-20 2.524352 2.714894 2.923827 3.172112 3.462105 3.793997 4.208493
2025-04-27 2.355719 2.582474 2.840476 3.160404 3.553435 4.030587 4.670926
2025-05-04 2.244400 2.503350 2.808165 3.201792 3.710267 4.366865 5.321631
2025-05-11 2.129221 2.408693 2.747076 3.199519 3.810748 4.647026 5.964914
2025-05-18 2.017697 2.309007 2.670041 3.167246 3.865928 4.874105 6.593554
2025-05-25 1.891496 2.181885 2.547673 3.062139 3.806230 4.924292 6.956661
2025-06-01 1.802094 2.095592 2.471485 3.011866 3.817837 5.084180 7.563790
2025-06-08 1.730811 2.028078 2.414860 2.982816 3.856172 5.292976 8.345460
2025-06-15 1.678364 1.981884 2.383242 2.985781 3.943065 5.600556 9.482322
2025-06-22 1.609615 1.910168 2.311787 2.923542 3.917017 5.699419 10.187830
2025-06-29 1.532481 1.823691 2.215119 2.816283 3.804940 5.616151 10.385635
2025-07-06 1.458213 1.742102 2.126868 2.724769 3.726076 5.617694 10.953666
2025-07-13 1.421694 1.710728 2.108531 2.740450 3.836229 6.036739 13.243527
2025-07-20 1.390121 1.684689 2.096376 2.765155 3.967877 6.551142 16.763836
2025-07-27 1.369528 1.672922 2.104300 2.823241 4.172974 7.326815 23.917607
2025-08-03 1.339764 1.646577 2.088687 2.840600 4.302675 7.978519 34.554875
2025-08-10 1.305054 1.611479 2.057631 2.828627 4.370919 8.497990 51.215171
2025-08-17 1.257862 1.556377 1.992980 2.752785 4.292060 8.531792 62.760880
2025-08-24 1.223295 1.518468 1.953269 2.718419 4.300453 8.871975 101.995185
2025-08-31 1.194446 1.487849 1.923424 2.699434 4.341111 9.359004 283.805146
2025-09-07 1.172894 1.467153 1.908128 2.705661 4.441735 10.153879 NaN
2025-09-14 1.141011 1.429922 1.864695 2.656319 4.402055 10.350601 NaN